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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Operations Fault Tree Analysis |  Operations MORT Analysis |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage. | For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 2-6 h | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Fault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions | MORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | RiskRoot causeSafety | Root causeSafetySystemicIncident | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |