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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-2 h20–45 min20-35 min
Participantsdifferent
2-82-8Small cross-functional group1-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logTest Card with a pre-set threshold
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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