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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Trade-off Analysis.
Decision Making
Trade-off Analysis
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-4 Wochen45-120 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten2-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesTrade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted DownsidesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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