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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-4 Wochen25-40 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten1-52-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesLearning Card with evidence and next actionDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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