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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 ExpertenNutzertraffic2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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