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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 2-6 h | 45-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-8 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |