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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an eight-panel idea sheet with varied sketches beside a timer set to eight minutes.
Innovation
Crazy 8s
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.With only a few minutes available and a still-fuzzy solution search, the method forces a wide range of variants. It produces fast sketches before the first idea can settle in, making different directions directly comparable and open to further development.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-60 min8-15 min1-5 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-81-10Nutzertraffic1-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingSketch Set, Idea Shortlist, Direction OptionsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
BrainstormingSketchingSpeedDivergenceDesign sprint
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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