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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min90-180 min45-90 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-83-82-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingCoD Table, Prioritization SequenceAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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