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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-60 minHalf day1-5 TageHalf day
Participantsdifferent
2-83-8Nutzertraffic3-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingStress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteValue Chain Map, Lever List
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis
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