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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
45-60 min30-90 min1-5 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-83-12Nutzertraffic1-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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