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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-60 min30-90 min1-5 Tage30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-12Nutzertraffic3-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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