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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration for Planning Poker.
Agile
Planning Poker
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min30-90 min2-5 min je Item45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-123-92-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsRelative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split CandidatesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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