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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Growth A/B Testing |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-60 min | 1-4 Wochen | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |