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Criterion
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
45-60 min1-4 Wochen30-90 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-81-63-12Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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