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| Criterion |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 h | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tags1 shared | SensemakingDecisionRationale | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskDecisionSensemaking | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |