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Criterion
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-4 Wochen45-90 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
1-86-30 Experten2-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision RationaleExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tags1 shared
SensemakingDecisionRationale
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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