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Criterion
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Purposedifferent
When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-3 h45-90 min20–45 min1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-8Small cross-functional group3-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision RationaleAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan
Tags1 shared
SensemakingDecisionRationale
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
RiskDecisionSensemaking
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