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Criterion
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h45-60 min1-4 h1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
1-82-83-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision RationaleAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation PlanPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
SensemakingDecisionRationale
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskDecisionSensemaking
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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