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Criterion
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for TOWS Matrix.
Business Strategy
TOWS Matrix
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.The TOWS Matrix connects internal strengths and weaknesses with external opportunities and threats into action-oriented strategies. It goes a step further than a pure stocktaking.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
10-20 min daily1-2 h20–45 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
13-10Small cross-functional group2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesTOWS Matrix, Strategic Options, Priority ActionsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
StrategyAnalysisOptions
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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