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Criterion
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
10-20 min daily20–45 min45-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
1Small cross-functional group2-83-10
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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