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Criterion
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
10-20 min daily60-120 min1-4 Wochen1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
13-106-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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