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Criterion
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
10-20 min daily60-120 min1-5 Tage45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
13-8Nutzertraffic2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
GrowthRetentionConversion
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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