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Criterion
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighLow
Timedifferent
10-20 min daily2-6 h2-8 h20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
13-82-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
RiskRoot causeSafety
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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