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Criterion
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Concierge MVP
Product Discovery
Concierge MVP
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When an idea can first fail or grow through genuine hands-on support, it relies on manual work instead of automation. It shows whether user value holds up even under manual execution.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-20 min daily45-90 min1-4 Wochen45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
12-83-10 Kunden2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanConcierge Learnings, Service Blueprint, MVP RisksAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
MVPValidationServiceDiscovery
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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