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| Criterion |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | Half day | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 3-12 | 4-12 Experten | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |