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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min1-4 Wochen45-60 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-126-30 Experten2-83-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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