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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min45-90 min20-35 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-122-81-53-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanTest Card with a pre-set thresholdBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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