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| Criterion |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 45-90 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |