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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min45-90 min1-5 Tage1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
3-122-8Nutzertraffic2-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning DecisionPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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