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Criterion
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
30-60 min1-4 h or multiple rounds15-45 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-54-12 Experten1-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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