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Criterion
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-60 minHalbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ45-90 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-53-122-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListHorizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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