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Criterion
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
30-60 minHalber Tag20–45 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-55-20Small cross-functional group2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
ResilienceOperationsIncident
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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