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Criterion
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
30-60 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-56-30 Experten2-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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