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Criterion
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min10-30 min je Item1-4 Wochen15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
2-51-86-30 Experten2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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