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288 Methods20 Categories12 Method forms
Favorites are stored locally in the browser and appear through the favorites filter in the catalog.
Turns options, criteria, and risks into a tangible result by defining the question and panel, querying in the first round, and deriving the outcome in the next round.
Core question: What range or which consensus emerges when experts give iterative, anonymous estimates on an uncertain future question?
Moves options, criteria, and risks toward a concrete result through "clarify the estimate object", "determine the optimistic value", and "derive the range, expected value, and risks".
Core question: Which realistic range from optimistic to pessimistic describes the estimation object, and which risks drive the difference between the three values?
Moves options, criteria, and risks toward a concrete result through "clarify the estimate object and unit", "collect independent estimates", and "document another round and the outcome".
Core question: Which range and expected value describe the estimation object most honestly under explicit expert assumptions?
Moves scope, sequence, and delivery flow toward a concrete result through "formulate the forecast question", "choose historical flow data", and "update the forecast regularly".
Core question: With what probability will the desired scope be finished by the target date (or how much scope can we complete by then), and which assumptions drive the distribution?
Moves backlog, sprint work, and team flow toward a concrete result through "clarify the planning question", "slice work smaller", and "calibrate regularly with reality".
Core question: Which planning decision do we need to make, and which flow data or slicing rules answer it more cheaply than an estimation ritual?