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Criterion
A paper-based illustration representing WSJF with its core stages and visible working result.
Agile
WSJF
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Purposedifferent
When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min15-45 min1-4 Wochen10-30 min je Item
Participantsdifferent
3-101-86-30 Experten1-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay AssumptionsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
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