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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds10-30 min je Item30-60 min2-8 h
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten1-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Root causeQualityOperations
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
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