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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  UX Research HEART Framework |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Helps clarify observations, needs, and patterns in concrete terms. It groups observations into patterns, questions, and decisions. The result is captured as a HEART-GSM table and dashboard. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 120 min initial, dann laufend | 45-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-6 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | HEART-GSM Table, Dashboard | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | MetricsUX researchMeasurementSatisfaction | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |