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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple roundsLaufend, Wochen bis Monate5-20 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten4-103-206-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesDiscovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte StoriesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
AgileDiscoveryDelivery
EstimationEffortRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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