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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 5-20 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-20 | 1-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationEffortRisk | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |