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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Agile Bucket System |  Agile NoEstimates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 5-20 min | 30-90 min | laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-20 | 3-12 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules |
Tags1 shared | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationEffortRisk | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | EstimationForecastingFlow |