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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a Strategy Canvas with several value curves
Business Strategy
Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.The Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas shows how an offering is positioned relative to the market. Differentiation thereby becomes tangible in value factors instead of merely being claimed.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds5-20 min2-4 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten3-203-106-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsStrategy Canvas, Value Curve, ERRC ActionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationEffortRisk
StrategyPositioningInnovationValue
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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