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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Engineering Kanban |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 90-180 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Ongoing |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 | 1-8 | 2-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingFlowDelivery | FlowVisual managementDelivery |