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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
45-120 min15-45 min30-120 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-82-63-20
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanObservationProcessOperations
EstimationEffortRisk
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