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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min30-90 min Setup, danach laufend15-45 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-81-81-84-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
ForecastingFlowDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
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