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| Criterion |  Operations Waste Analysis |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 45-120 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 90-180 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 1-8 | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | WasteLeanProcess improvement | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |