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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min5-20 min10-30 min je Item15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-201-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationEffortRisk
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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