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| Criterion | ![]() Operations Waste Analysis | ![]() Facilitation Dot Estimation | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-120 min | 5-20 min | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-20 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | WasteLeanProcess improvement | EstimationEffortRisk | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |



