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Criterion
Visual Management workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Visual Management
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
With high tempo and many parallel topics, the method makes status, deviations, and priorities visible at a glance. It reduces search effort and prevents what matters from getting lost in daily work.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
Ongoing10-30 min je Item15-60 min15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
1-201-82-91-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Visual Board, Status Indicators, Exception CuesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
SignalsOperationsVisual management
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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