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Criterion
Visual Management workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Visual Management
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
With high tempo and many parallel topics, the method makes status, deviations, and priorities visible at a glance. It reduces search effort and prevents what matters from getting lost in daily work.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
Ongoing10-30 min je Item1-3 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-201-82-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Visual Board, Status Indicators, Exception CuesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesIssue Map, Positions, Argument NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
SignalsOperationsVisual management
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
RationaleKnowledgeDecision
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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